Gardere, Louisianna 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for Gardere LA
National Weather Service Forecast for:
Gardere LA
Issued by: National Weather Service New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA |
Updated: 12:25 pm CDT Jul 14, 2025 |
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This Afternoon
 Chance T-storms
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Tonight
 Chance T-storms then Mostly Clear
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Tuesday
 Sunny then Slight Chance T-storms
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Tuesday Night
 Mostly Clear
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Wednesday
 Sunny then Chance T-storms
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Wednesday Night
 Slight Chance T-storms then Chance Showers
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Thursday
 Chance T-storms then T-storms
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Thursday Night
 Chance T-storms
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Friday
 Showers Likely then T-storms
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Hi 85 °F |
Lo 76 °F |
Hi 94 °F |
Lo 76 °F |
Hi 95 °F |
Lo 77 °F |
Hi 90 °F |
Lo 75 °F |
Hi 87 °F |
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Heat Advisory
Heat Advisory
This Afternoon
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A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a steady temperature around 85. Southwest wind around 5 mph. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Tonight
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 7pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 76. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm. |
Tuesday
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A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Sunny, with a high near 94. Heat index values as high as 105. Calm wind becoming northwest around 5 mph. |
Tuesday Night
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Mostly clear, with a low around 76. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm. |
Wednesday
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A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 95. Calm wind becoming northwest around 5 mph. |
Wednesday Night
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A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms, then a chance of showers after 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 77. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
Thursday
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A chance of showers, then showers and thunderstorms after 10am. High near 90. Calm wind becoming north around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. |
Thursday Night
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 75. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm. Chance of precipitation is 40%. |
Friday
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Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm, then showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 87. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph in the afternoon. |
Friday Night
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A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 75. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm. |
Saturday
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Showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 89. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. |
Saturday Night
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Partly cloudy, with a low around 76. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm. |
Sunday
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Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. |
Sunday Night
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Partly cloudy, with a low around 76. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm. |
Monday
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Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph in the afternoon. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for Gardere LA.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
996
FXUS64 KLIX 141826
AFDLIX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
126 PM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE...
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Tuesday night)
Issued at 1215 PM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025
Tonight through Wednesday morning, weak mid level ridging will
dominate the pattern. Southerly surface winds are helping to
advect moisture and warm air into the region. Scattered storms
are still expected, mainly during the afternoon and evening hours
on Tuesday. Looking at the short range models, generally this
should be lower in coverage than what we are seeing today, and
severe weather is not expected. There will still be the concern
for localized minor flash flooding impacts, given the highs PWs
around 2" and abundant low level moisture. These storms are also
not moving very quickly at all, which can lead to some training if
a storm does develop over an area. Locations with the greatest
threat will be urban and vulnerable locations.
Despite the rain, the convection should be scattered enough areal
coverage-wise to allow for locations to get quite hot, especially
with the added humidity. Heat index values for tomorrow are around
105-110 degrees for most locations, especially east of I-55. A
heat advisory has been issued for all locations in Southeast
Louisiana and Coastal and Southern Mississippi, except the
immediate Louisiana coast. If convection ends up being more
coverage than expected for tomorrow, then we may not end up
meeting criteria, but confidence is higher tomorrow than any other
day this week, given the "drier" forecast. MSW
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Sunday night)
Issued at 1215 PM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025
As we head into Wednesday through the weekend, rain chances will
be quite enhanced due to the influence of a nearby Gulf
disturbance, which has a 30% (low) chance of development per NHC
in the next 7 days. There is some model uncertainty in how to
handle this system, but generally increased Gulf moisture from the
disturbance trending westward will likely influence our area.
Currently, the main impacts we may expect from this system will be
locally heavy rainfall. While increased rain chances begin
starting Wednesday, the bulk of the rainfall will occur on
Thursday and Friday (and potentially into the weekend). Wednesday,
there is still a little bit of uncertainty in the arrival timing
of the rainfall. A lot will depend on the strength of the ridge as
it breaks down mid-week. But generally, we should start to see
some enhanced PoPs and rainfall coverage by Wednesday afternoon,
increasing as we head into Thursday and Friday.
Thursday and Friday, the bulk of the rainfall from the Gulf
disturbance is expected to impact the area. Conditions look very
favorable for flash flooding, and this will be a very big
concern. Generally looking at model soundings, PW values are
around 2-2.2 inches, which above the 90th percentile for SPC
sounding climatology. This combined with the deep layer moisture
and an abundant source from the Gulf will create for some highly
efficient rainfall for our area. Additionally, some of the
soundings are hinting at parallel flow throughout the atmospheric
column as well as extremely low shear due to the system getting a
bit trapped, which would be a major issue that could lead to
training and backbuilding of storms. If this occurs, rainfall
totals could very well exceed any forecast amounts. It will all
depend on how the pattern develops in the next 1-2 days, and there
is still some uncertainty for the late week. Regardless, WPC has
outlooked us in a Slight Risk of Excessive Rainfall for Thursday
and Friday to reflect the risk of heavy rainfall. We will continue
to monitor closely through the next few days, but this event has
the potential to be a major rain producer for our area, so please
keep tuned into the forecast for changes. MSW
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1215 PM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025
VFR conditions prevail at all area airports and will persist
through the forecast period. Some afternoon and early evening
showers and storms are forecast at all area airports that will
briefly drop conditions to MVFR, and TEMPO groups are in effect to
represent this concern. MSW
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.MARINE...
Issued at 1215 PM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025
Benign conditions will continue through the next few days as high
pressure remains overhead or at least nearby. Winds generally onshore
at 10 knots or less with seas under 2 feet. The only exception would
be brief gale force wind gusts from isolated storms. A broad area of
low pressure moving into the northeastern Gulf later this week will
increase winds/seas over local waters.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB 72 94 74 95 / 10 20 0 40
BTR 75 94 75 95 / 10 20 0 40
ASD 73 94 75 93 / 10 20 10 60
MSY 78 94 79 94 / 10 30 10 60
GPT 76 95 77 94 / 10 30 30 70
PQL 74 96 75 93 / 10 30 40 80
&&
.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...Heat Advisory from 10 AM to 7 PM CDT Tuesday for LAZ034>037-039-
046>048-056>060-064-065-070-071-076>090.
Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for LAZ046>048-056>060-
064-065-070-076>090.
GM...None.
MS...Heat Advisory from 10 AM to 7 PM CDT Tuesday for MSZ068>071-077-
083>088.
Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for MSZ086>088.
GM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...MSW
LONG TERM....MSW
AVIATION...MSW
MARINE...MSW
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